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Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 4/725

Fiscal Dominance in FX MarketsJuly marks a year since UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer assumed office and six months into US President Donald Trump’s second term. The market response to Labour’s first...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Non Farm Payroll Analysis

Goldman Sachs Research Update:- Nonfarm payrolls are estimated to have increased by 85k in June, which is below the consensus forecast of 110k and the three-month average of +135k.- The unemployment...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs SP500 Poisoning & Key Levels 2/7/25

US Equoty Positioning and Key Levels FICC and Equities Consolidated Recap of GS Positioning Metrics Summary: 1. CTA Corner: - CTAs currently hold $67bn in global equities (61st percentile)...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs - Technical Breakouts: ARKK, NVDA, AI, SPX, Copper

Technical Breakouts: ARKK, NVDA, AI, SPX, Copper1. Transitioning Phases: April marked the crisis phase; we are now in the Response Phase. The Fed has begun rate cuts, with a new Fed Chair expected in...

Institutional Insights: Nomura:-VOL CONTROL LARGEST PROJECTED 1M "BUY" IN MODEL HISTORY

The persistent selling of volatility continues unabated, as previously perceived risks are being mitigated, desensitized, or outright dismissed. Meanwhile, exposures are being re-entered, with...

Institutional Insights: Nomura Cross-Asset: DOG DAYS

Nomura Cross-Asset: DOG DAYSNomura Securities Intl Inc, Charlie McElligott, Equity Derivatives Sales / StrategyThis is why I’ve been emphasising “Higher, then Lower” moving forward. There simply isn’t...

Institutional Insights: SP500 Positioning & Key Levels

US Equity Positioning and Key Levels FICC and Equities | 23 June 2025 | Consolidated Recap of GS Positioning Metrics Summary: 1. CTA Corner: - CTAs are currently long $75bn in global equities...

Institutional Inisghts: Credit Agricole FX Fair Value Model

The FAST FX model made 0.28% last week being long USD/CAD & short EUR/USD and EUR/JPY. The model is selling EUR/USD and EUR/JPY again this week and is up 5.48% over the past year with a hit rate...

Institutional Insights: BofA Systematic Flow Monitor

The model predicts that CTAs will buy oil next week. WTI crude oil futures have risen this week as tensions between Israel and Iran persist. Our model indicates that short- and medium-term trend...