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Market Insight

FX Options insight 30/09/24

FX Options insight 30/09/24FX option implied volatility with a sub 1-month expiration has reached new recent highs in response to the impending FX risk from Fed speakers and U.S. data. This culminates...

Institutional Insights: Deutsche Bank, Investor Positioning and Flows

Institutional Insights: Deutsche Bank, Investor Positioning and FlowsOur measure of aggregate equity positioning crept up further this week but is still onlya bout mid-way in the upper half of its...

FX Options Insights 27/09/24

FX Options Insights 27/09/24FX option trading reveals EUR/USD downside concernsGains in EUR/USD are inconsistent with recent price fluctuations in FX options. Near-date risk reversals were unable to...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs, China Flows & Positioning

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs, China Flows & PositioningGS Tactical Flow-of-Funds: China aka “TCT” aka The China Trade Investors are calling this the most “bullish morning of the year”...

FX Options Insights 26/09/24

FX Options Insights 26/09/24On Thursday, there was no substantial change in the implied volatility of options, which continues to be slightly higher than the levels observed at the beginning of the...

Institutional Insights: Month/Quarter End FX Rebalancing

Institutional Insights: Month/Quarter End FX RebalancingSeveral Investment banks have published signals from their month-end FX rebalancing models, and the general consensus indicates that the U.S....

FX Options Insights 25/09/24

FX Options Insights 25/09/24There is a reluctance to build significant short USD positions via USD put options, suggesting a lack of conviction about deeper USD losses. The broad USD is back under...

FX Options Insight 24/09/24

FX Options Insight 24/09/24Six weeks remain until the US election, but dealers note that, in contrast to the same period prior to the 2020 election, option end-user demand for FX volatility protection...

FX Options Insights 23/09/24

FX Options Insights 23/09/24The price action in the foreign exchange options market suggests a subdued outlook for the EUR/USD currency pair. The implied volatility, which reflects the market's...